Academic Journal of Computing & Information Science, 2026, 9(2); doi: 10.25236/AJCIS.2026.090209.
Luo Shunan1, Sun Xiaoqing1, Deng Yun1, Zhang Yucheng1
1University of Science and Technology Liaoning, Anshan, China
To implement the congestion control goals outlined in the Outline for Building a Leading Transportation Nation and address traffic congestion during urban peak hours, this paper integrates theories of multimodal information fusion and time-series analysis to propose a multimodal data fusion-based traffic flow prediction model for peak-hour scenarios. The model centers on minute-level traffic flow data from four key intersections in urban multi-functional zones, incorporating multidimensional multimodal information. Through data preprocessing, core features of traffic flow are extracted. Six mainstream prediction models are selected to establish a comparative framework, with quantitative evaluation based on MAE, RMSE, and R². Model weights are determined using the entropy weight method to construct a weighted fusion model. Validated with actual data from the 2016–2017 period, the fusion model outperforms all individual models across all metrics: MAE and RMSE are reduced to 16.4 and 22.3, respectively, while R² improves to 0.68. The correlation coefficient with actual traffic flow reaches 0.89, and trend consistency during critical periods achieves 92%, enabling accurate capture of dynamic traffic patterns. This model provides scientific support for traffic management and resident travel, while also offering a new technical pathway for the development of intelligent transportation systems.
Peak traffic hours, Multimodal data fusion, Traffic flow prediction model, ARIMA model, Intelligent transportation
Luo Shunan, Sun Xiaoqing, Deng Yun, Zhang Yucheng. Research on Multimodal Data Fusion for Traffic Flow Prediction during Peak Hours. Academic Journal of Computing & Information Science (2026), Vol. 9, Issue 2: 61-66. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJCIS.2026.090209.
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